Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

304.65 – 139.29

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 72.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 539.7 ±10.7

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 95.09Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 185.18Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3418RoboRiot

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 24.38Rank 8Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 462.5 ±9.8

2202BEAST Robotics

Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 36.2Rank 18Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 68.77Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6381Red Raider Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 34.32Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1714, 1306, 3418

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1714, 1306, 3418

Auto

66.3 22%

Teleop

170.6 57%

Endgame

63.2 21%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2202, 7915, 6381

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2202, 7915, 6381

Auto

30.4 23%

Teleop

64.3 49%

Endgame

37.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score304.7pts

Blue projected score139.3pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 165.4
Score range: 115–329
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 363 vs event baseline 131.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

539.7Season APEX462.5

66.3Auto30.4

170.6Teleop64.3

63.2Endgame37.5

13Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	21
teleop	88	82
endgame	49	58
foul	0	10
total	192	171

Result

Final score

192 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 72.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.