Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
382.15 – 210.14
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
369 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 87.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 639.8 ±9.3
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 25.78Rank 14Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 171.35Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 185.02Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 524.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 23.6Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 86.24Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 100.3Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6421, 1732, 1306
80
/ 100 compatProjected
382.2 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6421, 1732, 1306
Auto
73.1 19%
Teleop
230.3 61%
Endgame
77.0 20%
Strengths
- · 1306 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8531, 930, 1714
81
/ 100 compatProjected
210.1 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8531, 930, 1714
Auto
40.6 20%
Teleop
117.7 58%
Endgame
43.9 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score382.2pts
Blue projected score210.1pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 172
- Score range
- 187–405
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
639.8Season APEX524.9
73.1Auto40.6
230.3Teleop117.7
77Endgame43.9
0Consistency13
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 97 | 21 |
| teleop | 219 | 0 |
| endgame | 23 | 22 |
| foul | 30 | 5 |
| total | 369 | 48 |
Result
Final score
369 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 87.6 pts
Match videos
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