Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
229.19 – 246.18
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
305 – 198
Prediction missed · off by 62 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 460.6 ±9.9
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 31.1Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 99.01Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 162.6Event APEX 99.08Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.5 ±11
Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 44.31Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 111.14Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 90.73Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3596, 7915, 4786
80
/ 100 compatProjected
229.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3596, 7915, 4786
Auto
37.9 17%
Teleop
136.5 62%
Endgame
44.7 20%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9760, 93, 2202
81
/ 100 compatProjected
246.2 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9760, 93, 2202
Auto
32.2 13%
Teleop
133.4 55%
Endgame
79.1 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score229.2pts
Blue projected score246.2pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample176alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -17
- Score range
- 201–274
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
460.6Season APEX304.5
37.9Auto32.2
136.5Teleop133.4
44.7Endgame79.1
35Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 61 | 30 |
| teleop | 168 | 103 |
| endgame | 66 | 50 |
| foul | 10 | 15 |
| total | 305 | 198 |
Result
Final score
305 – 198
Prediction missed · off by 62 pts
Match videos
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