Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
236.96 – 141.29
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
216 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 22.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.5 ±11
Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 41.17Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 108.81Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 86.98Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.6 ±11
Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 26.39Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 60.41Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 54.49Rank 16Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9760, 93, 2202
82
/ 100 compatProjected
237 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9760, 93, 2202
Auto
35.0 15%
Teleop
123.1 53%
Endgame
72.1 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8701, 1675, 5148
62
/ 100 compatProjected
141.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8701, 1675, 5148
Auto
26.6 19%
Teleop
67.0 49%
Endgame
43.5 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 1.05
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score237pts
Blue projected score141.3pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample176alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 95.7
- Score range
- 113–265
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
304.5Season APEX219.6
35Auto26.6
123.1Teleop67
72.1Endgame43.5
52Consistency87
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 29 |
| teleop | 88 | 80 |
| endgame | 69 | 51 |
| foul | 10 | 5 |
| total | 216 | 165 |
Result
Final score
216 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 22.3 pts
Match videos
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