Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
237.09 – 153.26
74%26%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
237 – 72
Prediction correct · off by 40.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.5 ±11
Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 41.29Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 108.75Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 87.05Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 22.47Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 62.23Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 68.56Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9760, 93, 2202
81
/ 100 compatProjected
237.1 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9760, 93, 2202
Auto
31.7 14%
Teleop
127.9 55%
Endgame
73.7 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2830, 1220, 2506
62
/ 100 compatProjected
153.3 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2830, 1220, 2506
Auto
29.8 21%
Teleop
71.8 50%
Endgame
43.3 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score237.1pts
Blue projected score153.3pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample176alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 83.8
- Score range
- 125–265
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
304.5Season APEX287.4
31.7Auto29.8
127.9Teleop71.8
73.7Endgame43.3
52Consistency17
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 56 | 32 |
| teleop | 94 | 29 |
| endgame | 62 | 11 |
| foul | 25 | 0 |
| total | 237 | 72 |
Result
Final score
237 – 72
Prediction correct · off by 40.7 pts
Match videos
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