Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
104.85 – 94.29
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
66 – 102
Prediction missed · off by 23.3 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 35.71Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 32Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 37.14Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 80Event APEX 27.43Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 32Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 34.86Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2830, 3692, 9760
56
/ 100 compatProjected
104.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2830, 3692, 9760
Auto
15.4 15%
Teleop
62.3 59%
Endgame
27.1 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10522, 8701, 2062
55
/ 100 compatProjected
94.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 10522, 8701, 2062
Auto
22.6 24%
Teleop
41.1 44%
Endgame
30.6 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score104.9pts
Blue projected score94.3pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample176alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 10.6
- Score range
- 68–131
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
170.1Season APEX281.6
15.4Auto22.6
62.3Teleop41.1
27.1Endgame30.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 36 |
| teleop | 23 | 40 |
| endgame | 19 | 21 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 66 | 102 |
Result
Final score
66 – 102
Prediction missed · off by 23.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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