WIN District Mukwonago Event presented by Regal Rexnord

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.82 – 186.15

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 7.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.7 ±12.8

10430Solar Chill

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -3.76Rank 36Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10522Sun Prairie Robotics (SPR)

Season APEX 80Event APEX 17.4Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2506Saber Robotics

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 79.18Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.3 ±10.5

7103Robo Remedy @ Manitowoc Lutheran High School

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 54.93Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 91.35Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

10909CuttingEdge

Season APEX 69Event APEX 39.87Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10430, 10522, 2506

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10430, 10522, 2506

Auto

24.7 28%

Teleop

44.3 50%

Endgame

19.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7103, 7915, 10909

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7103, 7915, 10909

Auto

36.0 21%

Teleop

95.1 56%

Endgame

39.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.8pts

Blue projected score186.2pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample176alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.3
Score range: 66–213
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 147.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.7Season APEX364.3

24.7Auto36

44.3Teleop95.1

19.2Endgame39.4

64Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	32
teleop	44	112
endgame	35	31
foul	0	0
total	96	175

Result

Final score

96 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 7.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.