Qualification · Qualification 25
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
86.47 – 35.43
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
42 – 107
Prediction missed · off by 58 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 39.01Rank 29Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 26.23Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 21.23Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 314.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 50.9Event APEX -15.65Rank 28Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 183.6Event APEX 46.18Rank 9Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80Event APEX 4.9Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5586, 3596, 3692
48
/ 100 compatProjected
86.5 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5586, 3596, 3692
Auto
10.5 12%
Teleop
49.7 58%
Endgame
25.3 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 537, 10553, 10522
27
/ 100 compatProjected
35.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 537, 10553, 10522
Auto
18.7 61%
Teleop
5.9 19%
Endgame
6.1 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.5pts
Blue projected score35.4pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample176alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 51
- Score range
- 9–112
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
184.3Season APEX314.5
10.5Auto18.7
49.7Teleop5.9
25.3Endgame6.1
102Consistency204
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 26 |
| teleop | 10 | 52 |
| endgame | 11 | 24 |
| foul | 10 | 5 |
| total | 42 | 107 |
Result
Final score
42 – 107
Prediction missed · off by 58 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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