Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
95.59 – 141.84
36%64%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
125 – 130
Prediction correct · off by 20.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 16.15Rank 29Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 60.93Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 18.51Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.2 ±11
Season APEX 69Event APEX 39.37Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 65.36Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 37.11Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5586, 1675, 2830
46
/ 100 compatProjected
95.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5586, 1675, 2830
Auto
19.8 21%
Teleop
41.4 43%
Endgame
34.1 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10909, 2506, 9760
59
/ 100 compatProjected
141.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10909, 2506, 9760
Auto
16.2 12%
Teleop
80.1 60%
Endgame
36.3 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score95.6pts
Blue projected score141.8pts
Red win probability36%
Event bonus sample176alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -46.2
- Score range
- 67–171
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
219.1Season APEX252.2
19.8Auto16.2
41.4Teleop80.1
34.1Endgame36.3
65Consistency104
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 18 |
| teleop | 66 | 92 |
| endgame | 35 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 125 | 130 |
Result
Final score
125 – 130
Prediction correct · off by 20.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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