Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
91.81 – 37.28
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
108 – 57
Prediction correct · off by 18 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 183.6Event APEX 43.34Rank 9Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 35.43Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69Event APEX 13.04Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 15.27Rank 27Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 5.35Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 16.66Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10553, 9425, 10909
47
/ 100 compatProjected
91.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10553, 9425, 10909
Auto
9.3 11%
Teleop
58.3 70%
Endgame
15.6 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8531, 11158, 2830
33
/ 100 compatProjected
37.3 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 8531, 11158, 2830
Auto
16.0 37%
Teleop
13.5 31%
Endgame
14.1 32%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.26
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score91.8pts
Blue projected score37.3pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample176alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 54.5
- Score range
- 10–119
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
319.4Season APEX180.8
9.3Auto16
58.3Teleop13.5
15.6Endgame14.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 21 |
| teleop | 44 | 14 |
| endgame | 34 | 17 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 108 | 57 |
Result
Final score
108 – 57
Prediction correct · off by 18 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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