Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
118.46 – 163.48
36%64%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
190 – 282
Prediction correct · off by 95 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 384.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 44.04Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 50.57Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.5Event APEX 23.85Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 453.6 ±11.2
Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 12.29Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 116Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 35.19Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2506, 1714, 8847
60
/ 100 compatProjected
118.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2506, 1714, 8847
Auto
24.4 21%
Teleop
75.1 63%
Endgame
19.0 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9425, 1732, 6381
76
/ 100 compatProjected
163.5 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9425, 1732, 6381
Auto
30.4 18%
Teleop
94.5 56%
Endgame
42.6 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score118.5pts
Blue projected score163.5pts
Red win probability36%
Event bonus sample176alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -45
- Score range
- 93–188
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
384.5Season APEX453.6
24.4Auto30.4
75.1Teleop94.5
19Endgame42.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 51 | 57 |
| teleop | 62 | 165 |
| endgame | 57 | 55 |
| foul | 20 | 5 |
| total | 190 | 282 |
Result
Final score
190 – 282
Prediction correct · off by 95 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.