Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
363.29 – 258.91
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
266 – 317
Prediction missed · off by 77.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 585.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 165.8Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 36.92Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 160.57Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 460.6 ±9.9
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 41.54Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 110Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 162.6Event APEX 107.37Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1732, 7900, 1714
81
/ 100 compatProjected
363.3 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1732, 7900, 1714
Auto
71.0 21%
Teleop
202.7 59%
Endgame
72.4 21%
Strengths
- · 1732 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3596, 7915, 4786
80
/ 100 compatProjected
258.9 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3596, 7915, 4786
Auto
46.5 19%
Teleop
151.0 60%
Endgame
53.7 21%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score363.3pts
Blue projected score258.9pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample176alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 104.4
- Score range
- 231–391
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
585.2Season APEX460.6
71Auto46.5
202.7Teleop151
72.4Endgame53.7
0Consistency12
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 61 | 70 |
| teleop | 128 | 154 |
| endgame | 77 | 93 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 266 | 317 |
Result
Final score
266 – 317
Prediction missed · off by 77.7 pts
Match videos
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