Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
59.79 – 158.98
23%77%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
83 – 198
Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 126.3 ±41
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 33.37Rank 28Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.58Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 69Event APEX 14.84Rank 26Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.6 ±41.2
Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 110.57Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.6Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 40.81Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8531, 9990, 10909
40
/ 100 compatProjected
59.8 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 8531, 9990, 10909
Auto
6.7 11%
Teleop
35.4 59%
Endgame
17.8 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6574, 9991, 1220
65
/ 100 compatProjected
159 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6574, 9991, 1220
Auto
30.9 19%
Teleop
97.6 61%
Endgame
30.5 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score59.8pts
Blue projected score159pts
Red win probability23%
Event bonus sample128alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -99.2
- Score range
- 30–189
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
126.3Season APEX209.6
6.7Auto30.9
35.4Teleop97.6
17.8Endgame30.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 51 |
| teleop | 48 | 115 |
| endgame | 13 | 27 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 83 | 198 |
Result
Final score
83 – 198
Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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