Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

121.08 – 195.09

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 366

Prediction correct · off by 102.5 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244.4 ±11

7900Trial N' Terror

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 21.65Rank 25Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3596Rocket Robotics

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 13.14Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 86.29Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 435.5 ±11.2

11258Honey Badgers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 80.8Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2202BEAST Robotics

Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 28Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 86.29Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7900, 3596, 706

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.1 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7900, 3596, 706

Auto

29.9 25%

Teleop

68.7 57%

Endgame

22.5 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11258, 2202, 1306

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.1 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11258, 2202, 1306

Auto

47.0 24%

Teleop

102.4 52%

Endgame

45.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score121.1pts

Blue projected score195.1pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74
Score range: 93–223
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 453 vs event baseline 158.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244.4Season APEX435.5

29.9Auto47

68.7Teleop102.4

22.5Endgame45.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	54
teleop	36	239
endgame	14	73
foul	0	0
total	87	366

Result

Final score

87 – 366

Prediction correct · off by 102.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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