Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.48 – 268.94

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 408

Prediction correct · off by 70.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 124.6 ±41.2

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 6.02Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10909CuttingEdge

Season APEX 69Event APEX 32.54Rank 26Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5096The Teutonic Force

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 29.92Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 555.6 ±9.9

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 148.96Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 40.94Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 79.04Rank 17Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9991, 10909, 5096

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.5 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 10909, 5096

Auto

22.3 36%

Teleop

24.8 40%

Endgame

14.9 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1732, 6318, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.9 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1732, 6318, 930

Auto

68.5 25%

Teleop

140.5 52%

Endgame

63.1 23%

Strengths

· 1732 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score68.5pts

Blue projected score268.9pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -200.5
Score range: 39–298
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 478 vs event baseline 160.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

124.6Season APEX555.6

22.3Auto68.5

24.8Teleop140.5

14.9Endgame63.1

0Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	93
teleop	49	239
endgame	18	76
foul	0	0
total	70	408

Result

Final score

70 – 408

Prediction correct · off by 70.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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