Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
170.37 – 148.31
57%43%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
39 – 115
Prediction missed · off by 82.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 134.9 ±41
Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 54.71Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 0Event APEX 53.88Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 61.78Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.9 ±41.1
Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 42.97Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 0Event APEX 48.02Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 57.32Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6318, 9992, 6381
60
/ 100 compatProjected
170.4 pts
~1.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6318, 9992, 6381
Auto
13.6 8%
Teleop
106.2 64%
Endgame
47.1 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1220, 9990, 1259
61
/ 100 compatProjected
148.3 pts
~1.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1220, 9990, 1259
Auto
34.5 23%
Teleop
82.2 55%
Endgame
32.9 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score170.4pts
Blue projected score148.3pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample128alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 22.1
- Score range
- 120–198
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
134.9Season APEX290.9
13.6Auto34.5
106.2Teleop82.2
47.1Endgame32.9
36Consistency73
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 24 |
| teleop | 12 | 63 |
| endgame | 10 | 28 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 39 | 115 |
Result
Final score
39 – 115
Prediction missed · off by 82.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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