Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

272.57 – 40.56

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

302 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 454.6 ±9.8

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 49.19Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6381Red Raider Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 30.74Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 192.64Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 138.5 ±41

10909CuttingEdge

Season APEX 69Event APEX 25.7Rank 26Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3596Rocket Robotics

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -14.65Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.51Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 706, 6381, 1306

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.6 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 706, 6381, 1306

Auto

58.3 22%

Teleop

170.1 64%

Endgame

38.9 15%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10909, 3596, 9992

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.6 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10909, 3596, 9992

Auto

19.6 60%

Teleop

4.0 12%

Endgame

9.1 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score272.6pts

Blue projected score40.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 232
Score range: 11–303
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 348 vs event baseline 166.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

454.6Season APEX138.5

58.3Auto19.6

170.1Teleop4

38.9Endgame9.1

12Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	13
teleop	191	19
endgame	18	14
foul	0	0
total	302	46

Result

Final score

302 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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