Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

234.86 – 65.43

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

156 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 419.6 ±10.4

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 60.68Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6574Ferradermis

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 129.49Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 44.69Rank 20Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170.2 ±12.2

1091Oriole Assault

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 7.88Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8701GRAFFITI

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 25.26Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11258Honey Badgers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 32.29Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 706, 6574, 2826

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.9 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 706, 6574, 2826

Auto

66.4 29%

Teleop

135.0 58%

Endgame

31.1 13%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1091, 8701, 11258

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.4 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1091, 8701, 11258

Auto

15.8 23%

Teleop

20.3 30%

Endgame

31.5 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score234.9pts

Blue projected score65.4pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 169.4
Score range: 36–264
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 177 vs event baseline 159.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

419.6Season APEX170.2

66.4Auto15.8

135Teleop20.3

31.1Endgame31.5

64Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	6
teleop	61	13
endgame	10	2
foul	0	0
total	156	21

Result

Final score

156 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.