Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

133.41 – 10.12

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96 – 138

Prediction missed · off by 82.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.5 ±56.8

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 57.16Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.11Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1259Paradigm Shift

Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 65.14Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.6 ±11.1

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 21.86Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3596Rocket Robotics

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -50.7Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 38.96Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9992, 9993, 1259

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.4 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9992, 9993, 1259

Auto

34.2 26%

Teleop

90.5 69%

Endgame

6.5 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1792, 3596, 6318

/ 100 compat

Projected

10.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1792, 3596, 6318

Auto

9.0 100%

Teleop

-0.5 0%

Endgame

-0.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score133.4pts

Blue projected score10.1pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123.3
Score range: -19–162
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 160.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.5Season APEX342.6

34.2Auto9

90.5Teleop-0.5

6.5Endgame-0.6

39Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	34
teleop	60	100
endgame	17	4
foul	0	0
total	96	138

Result

Final score

96 – 138

Prediction missed · off by 82.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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