Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.82 – 232.31

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

124 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 46.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.2 ±11.7

1220Rockhoppers - Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 38.3Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 50.23Rank 20Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 30.29Rank 22Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408 ±40.8

2202BEAST Robotics

Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 71.66Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 122.04Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 38.61Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1220, 2826, 2062

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1220, 2826, 2062

Auto

13.5 12%

Teleop

51.2 45%

Endgame

48.0 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2202, 1732, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.3 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2202, 1732, 9990

Auto

55.9 24%

Teleop

125.7 54%

Endgame

52.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.04 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score118.8pts

Blue projected score232.3pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.5
Score range: 91–260
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 445 vs event baseline 157.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.2Season APEX408

13.5Auto55.9

51.2Teleop125.7

48Endgame52.7

120Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	81
teleop	38	149
endgame	58	86
foul	0	5
total	124	321

Result

Final score

124 – 321

Prediction correct · off by 46.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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