Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

218.5 – 106.77

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

185 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.9 ±10.5

8701GRAFFITI

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 52.39Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8531TermiKnightors

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 31.53Rank 28Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 134.58Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.8 ±10.4

10909CuttingEdge

Season APEX 69Event APEX 19.44Rank 26Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6381Red Raider Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 64.59Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 22.74Rank 22Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8701, 8531, 1732

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.5 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8701, 8531, 1732

Auto

52.9 24%

Teleop

118.5 53%

Endgame

50.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10909, 6381, 2062

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.8 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10909, 6381, 2062

Auto

22.2 21%

Teleop

65.0 63%

Endgame

16.3 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score218.5pts

Blue projected score106.8pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.7
Score range: 79–247
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 155.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413.9Season APEX300.8

52.9Auto22.2

118.5Teleop65

50.2Endgame16.3

75Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	24
teleop	102	79
endgame	36	53
foul	0	0
total	185	156

Result

Final score

185 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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