Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

115.84 – 272.35

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224 ±41.2

2202BEAST Robotics

Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 78.2Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1220Rockhoppers - Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 53.39Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -15.75Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 631.8 ±9.3

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 135.96Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6223Arsenal of Engineering

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX -6.78Rank 14Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 143.17Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2202, 1220, 9993

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.8 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2202, 1220, 9993

Auto

4.1 4%

Teleop

80.2 70%

Endgame

31.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1732, 6223, 1306

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.4 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1732, 6223, 1306

Auto

80.8 29%

Teleop

159.9 58%

Endgame

37.0 13%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score115.8pts

Blue projected score272.4pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -156.5
Score range: 88–300
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 156.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224Season APEX631.8

4.1Auto80.8

80.2Teleop159.9

31Endgame37

40Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	20
teleop	60	126
endgame	24	100
foul	15	0
total	136	246

Result

Final score

136 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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