Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

115.9 – 109.95

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

119 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 3.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 272 ±11.7

5096The Teutonic Force

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 21.47Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 20.68Rank 22Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 73.75Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.1 ±11.1

8531TermiKnightors

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 33.39Rank 28Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1259Paradigm Shift

Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 47.33Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1091Oriole Assault

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 29.23Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5096, 2062, 706

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.9 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5096, 2062, 706

Auto

45.3 40%

Teleop

36.3 32%

Endgame

31.1 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8531, 1259, 1091

/ 100 compat

Projected

110 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8531, 1259, 1091

Auto

28.4 26%

Teleop

60.2 54%

Endgame

22.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score115.9pts

Blue projected score110pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6
Score range: 82–144
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 225 vs event baseline 158.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

272Season APEX295.1

45.3Auto28.4

36.3Teleop60.2

31.1Endgame22.7

24Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	26
teleop	44	72
endgame	14	8
foul	15	0
total	119	106

Result

Final score

119 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 3.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.