Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.02 – 178.03

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 372.1 ±40.8

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 21.75Rank 22Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 55.39Rank 17Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -26.12Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 215.9 ±12.2

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 44.83Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 87.83Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1220Rockhoppers - Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 45.37Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2062, 930, 9991

/ 100 compat

Projected

51 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2062, 930, 9991

Auto

26.2 52%

Teleop

0.3 1%

Endgame

24.0 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6318, 706, 1220

/ 100 compat

Projected

178 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6318, 706, 1220

Auto

49.7 28%

Teleop

101.7 57%

Endgame

25.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score51pts

Blue projected score178pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -127
Score range: 22–207
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 210 vs event baseline 158.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

372.1Season APEX215.9

26.2Auto49.7

0.3Teleop101.7

24Endgame25.7

27Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	26
teleop	38	83
endgame	12	28
foul	0	0
total	73	137

Result

Final score

73 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.