Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
7.57 – 85.99
27%73%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
153 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 93.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.6 ±11.6
Season APEX 28.5Event APEX -4.21Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 3.24Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 8.54Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 50.47Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 61.75Rank 20Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX -26.23Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6318, 1091, 93
10
/ 100 compatProjected
7.6 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6318, 1091, 93
Auto
-8.4 0%
Teleop
-9.0 0%
Endgame
27.3 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5096, 2826, 3596
51
/ 100 compatProjected
86 pts
~2.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5096, 2826, 3596
Auto
20.2 25%
Teleop
45.4 55%
Endgame
16.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.1 · Blue 2.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score7.6pts
Blue projected score86pts
Red win probability27%
Event bonus sample128alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -78.4
- Score range
- -22–116
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
187.6Season APEX340.5
-8.4Auto20.2
-9Teleop45.4
27.3Endgame16.4
170Consistency165
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 15 |
| teleop | 112 | 11 |
| endgame | 19 | 3 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 153 | 44 |
Result
Final score
153 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 93.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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