Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.43 – 227.67

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

147 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.2 ±40.9

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 26.89Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

93NEW Apple Corps

Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 6.7Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 45.84Rank 20Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.4 ±40.8

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 167.67Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 24.27Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8701GRAFFITI

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 35.73Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9990, 93, 2826

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.4 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9990, 93, 2826

Auto

6.3 8%

Teleop

65.5 83%

Endgame

7.5 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1306, 9993, 8701

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.7 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1306, 9993, 8701

Auto

50.2 22%

Teleop

172.2 76%

Endgame

3.8 2%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score79.4pts

Blue projected score227.7pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -148.2
Score range: 51–256
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 156.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.2Season APEX333.4

6.3Auto50.2

65.5Teleop172.2

7.5Endgame3.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	25
teleop	76	137
endgame	47	61
foul	0	0
total	147	223

Result

Final score

147 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 36.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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