Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
112.46 – 75.66
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
61 – 39
Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 66.1Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69Event APEX 20.73Rank 26Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 25.63Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 85.8 ±41.2
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 50.01Rank 28Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 11.35Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.3Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1220, 10909, 1091
56
/ 100 compatProjected
112.5 pts
~1.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1220, 10909, 1091
Auto
21.9 19%
Teleop
68.2 60%
Endgame
23.0 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8531, 6318, 9991
43
/ 100 compatProjected
75.7 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 8531, 6318, 9991
Auto
5.4 7%
Teleop
36.9 50%
Endgame
31.8 43%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.33
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score112.5pts
Blue projected score75.7pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample128alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 36.8
- Score range
- 47–141
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
208.7Season APEX85.8
21.9Auto5.4
68.2Teleop36.9
23Endgame31.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 19 |
| teleop | 10 | 10 |
| endgame | 41 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 61 | 39 |
Result
Final score
61 – 39
Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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