Mukwonago Robotics Offseason Competition

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

116.98 – 129.25

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

103 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.6 ±11

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 56.93Rank 22Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1091Oriole Assault

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 9.91Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7900Trial N' Terror

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 50.14Rank 25Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.6 ±12.8

93NEW Apple Corps

Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 56.09Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6643Walnuts and Bolts

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 34.98Rank 21Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1220Rockhoppers - Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 38.18Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2062, 1091, 7900

/ 100 compat

Projected

117 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2062, 1091, 7900

Auto

22.6 20%

Teleop

50.5 44%

Endgame

40.5 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 93, 6643, 1220

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.3 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 93, 6643, 1220

Auto

25.7 21%

Teleop

65.4 53%

Endgame

33.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score117pts

Blue projected score129.3pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.3
Score range: 87–159
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 261 vs event baseline 166.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.6Season APEX280.6

22.6Auto25.7

50.5Teleop65.4

40.5Endgame33.3

40Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	30
teleop	48	108
endgame	50	20
foul	0	0
total	103	158

Result

Final score

103 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 21.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.