Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.57 – 156.79

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 3.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.6 ±11.7

5586Bond Brigade

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 14.29Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

4531STEAMpunk

Season APEX 101.2Event APEX 32.4Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

1716Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 4.88Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.5 ±41.2

1220Rockhoppers - Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 36.88Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 50.28Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 69.63Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5586, 4531, 1716

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.6 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5586, 4531, 1716

Auto

10.9 21%

Teleop

27.8 52%

Endgame

14.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1220, 3602, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.8 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1220, 3602, 9990

Auto

30.3 19%

Teleop

104.9 67%

Endgame

22.0 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score51.6pts

Blue projected score156.8pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample58alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -105.2
Score range: 23–186
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 216 vs event baseline 159.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.6Season APEX214.5

10.9Auto30.3

27.8Teleop104.9

14.4Endgame22

9Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	28
teleop	26	108
endgame	14	21
foul	0	5
total	54	162

Result

Final score

54 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 3.8 pts