Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

98.43 – 253.92

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 339

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.9 ±12.2

1220Rockhoppers - Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 10.56Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

5586Bond Brigade

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 60.69Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

7103Robo Remedy @ Manitowoc Lutheran High School

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 27.18Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 523.4 ±9.9

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 52.17Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 44.34Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 157.41Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1220, 5586, 7103

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.4 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1220, 5586, 7103

Auto

25.3 26%

Teleop

56.8 59%

Endgame

14.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2586, 6318, 1732

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.9 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2586, 6318, 1732

Auto

57.0 22%

Teleop

135.2 52%

Endgame

65.6 25%

Strengths

· 1732 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score98.4pts

Blue projected score253.9pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample58alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -155.5
Score range: 71–281
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 403 vs event baseline 152.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237.9Season APEX523.4

25.3Auto57

56.8Teleop135.2

14.9Endgame65.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	93
teleop	29	146
endgame	13	55
foul	0	45
total	64	339

Result

Final score

64 – 339

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable