Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

188.17 – 235.13

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 63 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.6 ±11.7

3381Droid Rage

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 20.24Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

7103Robo Remedy @ Manitowoc Lutheran High School

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 18.11Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 149.82Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 581.8 ±10.7

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 64.57Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 166.27Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

1716Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 4.29Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3381, 7103, 2586

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.2 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3381, 7103, 2586

Auto

35.5 19%

Teleop

111.1 60%

Endgame

37.8 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 930, 1732, 1716

/ 100 compat

Projected

235.1 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 930, 1732, 1716

Auto

46.8 20%

Teleop

129.0 55%

Endgame

57.3 25%

Strengths

· 1732 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score188.2pts

Blue projected score235.1pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample58alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47
Score range: 158–265
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 369 vs event baseline 169.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330.6Season APEX581.8

35.5Auto46.8

111.1Teleop129

37.8Endgame57.3

79Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	60
teleop	39	141
endgame	26	70
foul	0	0
total	98	271

Result

Final score

98 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 63 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable