Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

91.9 – 89.19

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 105

Prediction missed · off by 31.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 148.2 ±41.6

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 64.06Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

7619illumiBOTi

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -2.9Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

1220Rockhoppers - Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 30.74Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.4 ±11.6

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 43.63Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

7103Robo Remedy @ Manitowoc Lutheran High School

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 18.11Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 27.45Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9990, 7619, 1220

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.9 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9990, 7619, 1220

Auto

10.3 12%

Teleop

60.7 69%

Endgame

16.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3602, 7103, 6318

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.2 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3602, 7103, 6318

Auto

29.9 35%

Teleop

44.2 51%

Endgame

12.0 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score91.9pts

Blue projected score89.2pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample58alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 2.7
Score range: 59–122
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 169.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

148.2Season APEX213.4

10.3Auto29.9

60.7Teleop44.2

16.6Endgame12

14Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	25
teleop	3	77
endgame	33	3
foul	5	0
total	44	105

Result

Final score

44 – 105

Prediction missed · off by 31.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable