Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

203.74 – 0

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

214 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 404.4 ±11.2

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 176.4Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

3381Droid Rage

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 8.1Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

5586Bond Brigade

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 19.24Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334 ±12.2

7103Robo Remedy @ Manitowoc Lutheran High School

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 4.56Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 25.59Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

7619illumiBOTi

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -32.89Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1732, 3381, 5586

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.7 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1732, 3381, 5586

Auto

65.7 34%

Teleop

80.6 42%

Endgame

47.1 24%

Strengths

· 1732 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7103, 2826, 7619

/ 100 compat

Projected

-2.7 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7103, 2826, 7619

Auto

3.6 0%

Teleop

-12.4 100%

Endgame

-0.5 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score203.7pts

Blue projected score-2.7pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample58alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 203.7
Score range: -27–231
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 303 vs event baseline 151.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

404.4Season APEX334

65.7Auto3.6

80.6Teleop-12.4

47.1Endgame-0.5

80Consistency180

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	18
teleop	144	42
endgame	16	29
foul	0	0
total	214	89

Result

Final score

214 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable