Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

385.78 – 122.07

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

448 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 581.9 ±10.7

5096The Teutonic Force

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 35.21Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

2194Fondy Fire

Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 184.3Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 166.27Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 490.6 ±10.5

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 30.05Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 27.45Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 64.57Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5096, 2194, 1732

/ 100 compat

Projected

385.8 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5096, 2194, 1732

Auto

77.3 20%

Teleop

231.7 61%

Endgame

70.1 18%

Strengths

· 2194 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2826, 6318, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.1 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2826, 6318, 930

Auto

26.6 22%

Teleop

55.8 46%

Endgame

38.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.84 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score385.8pts

Blue projected score122.1pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample58alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 263.7
Score range: 92–416
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 596 vs event baseline 169.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

581.9Season APEX490.6

77.3Auto26.6

231.7Teleop55.8

70.1Endgame38.1

0Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	104	26
teleop	265	63
endgame	79	59
foul	0	0
total	448	148

Result

Final score

448 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable