Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

350.01 – 243.15

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

377 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.8 ±10.7

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 164.61Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2194Fondy Fire

Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 182.49Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

9578Player One

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 2.91Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510.5 ±10.7

3381Droid Rage

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 22.86Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 152.87Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 67.42Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1732, 2194, 9578

/ 100 compat

Projected

350 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1732, 2194, 9578

Auto

76.0 22%

Teleop

215.5 62%

Endgame

55.2 16%

Strengths

· 2194 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3381, 2586, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.2 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3381, 2586, 930

Auto

39.2 16%

Teleop

140.6 59%

Endgame

60.5 25%

Strengths

· 2586 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.55 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score350pts

Blue projected score243.2pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample58alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.9
Score range: 213–380
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 165.4.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.8Season APEX510.5

76Auto39.2

215.5Teleop140.6

55.2Endgame60.5

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	42
teleop	226	105
endgame	142	35
foul	0	0
total	377	182

Result

Final score

377 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts