Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

326.24 – 228.89

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

463 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 119.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.8 ±10.7

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 157.99Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2194Fondy Fire

Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 174.38Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

9578Player One

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX -6.13Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510.5 ±10.7

3381Droid Rage

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 19.26Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 148.2Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 61.43Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1732, 2194, 9578

/ 100 compat

Projected

326.2 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1732, 2194, 9578

Auto

71.4 22%

Teleop

200.1 61%

Endgame

54.2 17%

Strengths

· 2194 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3381, 2586, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.9 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3381, 2586, 930

Auto

34.1 15%

Teleop

130.9 58%

Endgame

60.3 27%

Strengths

· 2586 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.51 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score326.2pts

Blue projected score228.9pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample58alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.4
Score range: 201–354
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 795 vs event baseline 156.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.8Season APEX510.5

71.4Auto34.1

200.1Teleop130.9

54.2Endgame60.3

0Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	69
teleop	289	201
endgame	60	62
foul	15	0
total	463	332

Result

Final score

463 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 119.9 pts