Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
163.73 – 220.37
33%67%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
311 – 175
Prediction missed · off by 96.3 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 506.3 ±9.9
Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 8.22Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 66.37Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 89.14Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.4 ±10.4
Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 66.37Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 101.2Event APEX 64.86Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91Event APEX 89.14Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5903, 2194, 1259
68
/ 100 compatProjected
163.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 5903, 2194, 1259
Auto
14.6 9%
Teleop
114.4 70%
Endgame
33.7 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5826, 4531, 706
85
/ 100 compatProjected
220.4 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5826, 4531, 706
Auto
23.2 11%
Teleop
141.1 64%
Endgame
55.0 25%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 2.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score163.7pts
Blue projected score220.4pts
Red win probability33%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -56.6
- Score range
- 138–246
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
506.3Season APEX311.4
14.6Auto23.2
114.4Teleop141.1
33.7Endgame55
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 28 |
| teleop | 202 | 116 |
| endgame | 102 | 31 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 311 | 175 |
Result
Final score
311 – 175
Prediction missed · off by 96.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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