WIN District Seven Rivers Event presented by Mathy Construction Company

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.29 – 116.94

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

171 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 43.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 370.7 ±11.2

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 86.2Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5586Bond Brigade

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 30.69Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3381Droid Rage

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 17.4Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.3 ±11.7

8700W.I.R.E.D

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 31.91Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 40.18Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9149RoboCats

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 44.85Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 930, 5586, 3381

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 930, 5586, 3381

Auto

11.8 9%

Teleop

86.8 67%

Endgame

31.0 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8700, 2826, 9149

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8700, 2826, 9149

Auto

20.9 18%

Teleop

51.7 44%

Endgame

44.2 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134.3pts

Blue projected score116.9pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.3
Score range: 90–161
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 148.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

370.7Season APEX336.3

11.8Auto20.9

86.8Teleop51.7

31Endgame44.2

0Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	21
teleop	76	20
endgame	81	26
foul	0	0
total	171	67

Result

Final score

171 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 43.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.