WIN District Seven Rivers Event presented by Mathy Construction Company

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

206.94 – 137.38

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

142 – 180

Prediction missed · off by 53.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.8 ±13.1

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 108.68Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10264STORM

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 63.04Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8782TroBotics

Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 35.22Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 82

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.9 ±11.7

9578Player One

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 46.3Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

171Cheese Curd Herd

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 71.74Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4021igKnightion

Season APEX 67Event APEX 19.34Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 706, 10264, 8782

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 706, 10264, 8782

Auto

39.6 19%

Teleop

121.9 59%

Endgame

46.4 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9578, 171, 4021

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9578, 171, 4021

Auto

13.3 10%

Teleop

82.7 62%

Endgame

37.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score206.9pts

Blue projected score137.4pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.6
Score range: 110–234
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 148.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.8Season APEX245.9

39.6Auto13.3

121.9Teleop82.7

46.4Endgame37.2

40Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	23
teleop	61	105
endgame	60	52
foul	0	0
total	142	180

Result

Final score

142 – 180

Prediction missed · off by 53.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.