WIN District Seven Rivers Event presented by Mathy Construction Company

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

148.22 – 48.55

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

189 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.2 ±12.4

2194Fondy Fire

Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 123.43Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1716Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 21.56Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3418RoboRiot

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 3.23Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.7 ±12.2

5903ThorBots

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 40.63Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6732BHS RoboRaiders

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 19.62Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11258Honey Badgers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX -11.7Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2194, 1716, 3418

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2194, 1716, 3418

Auto

25.1 17%

Teleop

81.2 55%

Endgame

41.5 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5903, 6732, 11258

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5903, 6732, 11258

Auto

21.5 43%

Teleop

14.5 29%

Endgame

13.7 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score148.2pts

Blue projected score48.6pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.7
Score range: 22–175
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 249 vs event baseline 148.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362.2Season APEX189.7

25.1Auto21.5

81.2Teleop14.5

41.5Endgame13.7

49Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	15
teleop	137	25
endgame	11	10
foul	0	10
total	189	60

Result

Final score

189 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.