WIN District Seven Rivers Event presented by Mathy Construction Company

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

271.34 – 281.36

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

280 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 489.2 ±9.8

8744Leviathans

Season APEX 130.1Event APEX 93.44Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

171Cheese Curd Herd

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 88.67Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 89.23Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352 ±11.2

1259Paradigm Shift

Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 142.62Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 96.83Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9578Player One

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 41.91Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8744, 171, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8744, 171, 930

Auto

37.6 14%

Teleop

147.5 55%

Endgame

84.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1259, 706, 9578

/ 100 compat

Projected

281.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1259, 706, 9578

Auto

42.9 15%

Teleop

159.9 58%

Endgame

75.2 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score271.3pts

Blue projected score281.4pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10
Score range: 242–310
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 592 vs event baseline 159.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

489.2Season APEX352

37.6Auto42.9

147.5Teleop159.9

84Endgame75.2

27Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	27
teleop	196	171
endgame	56	109
foul	0	5
total	280	312

Result

Final score

280 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.