WIN District Seven Rivers Event presented by Mathy Construction Company

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

116.62 – 86.22

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

309 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 98.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.5 ±12.7

1259Paradigm Shift

Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 124.05Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8782TroBotics

Season APEX 66.3Event APEX -0.43Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 82

5586Bond Brigade

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX -7Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.4 ±13.3

5903ThorBots

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 43.21Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3692Rock N' Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 24.9Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4054The Aeronauts

Season APEX 78.4Event APEX 18.11Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1259, 8782, 5586

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1259, 8782, 5586

Auto

4.2 4%

Teleop

58.3 50%

Endgame

53.5 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5903, 3692, 4054

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5903, 3692, 4054

Auto

-0.6 0%

Teleop

43.4 52%

Endgame

40.8 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score116.6pts

Blue projected score86.2pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.4
Score range: 59–144
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 400 vs event baseline 151.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335.5Season APEX184.4

4.2Auto-0.6

58.3Teleop43.4

53.5Endgame40.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	26
teleop	187	41
endgame	57	24
foul	15	0
total	309	91

Result

Final score

309 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 98.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.