WIN District Seven Rivers Event presented by Mathy Construction Company

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

158.43 – 20.28

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

265 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 526.5 ±11.2

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 88.47Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9578Player One

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 45.22Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 24.74Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.3 ±13.9

3381Droid Rage

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX -17.09Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8024Robotans

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 7.72Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6166Thorobotics

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 29.65Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1792, 9578, 2826

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1792, 9578, 2826

Auto

21.9 14%

Teleop

89.5 58%

Endgame

44.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3381, 8024, 6166

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3381, 8024, 6166

Auto

2.5 13%

Teleop

2.2 11%

Endgame

14.9 76%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score158.4pts

Blue projected score20.3pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 138.2
Score range: -7–185
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 151.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

526.5Season APEX137.3

21.9Auto2.5

89.5Teleop2.2

44.2Endgame14.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	12
teleop	169	16
endgame	55	7
foul	0	0
total	265	35

Result

Final score

265 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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