Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
157.74 – 108.91
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
55 – 142
Prediction missed · off by 67.9 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 179.8 ±13.9
Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 25.82Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 74.43Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 57.49Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 19.78Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67Event APEX 31.64Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 57.49Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8700, 9578, 1716
70
/ 100 compatProjected
157.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 8700, 9578, 1716
Auto
22.3 14%
Teleop
87.3 55%
Endgame
47.8 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9149, 4021, 135
56
/ 100 compatProjected
108.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9149, 4021, 135
Auto
18.9 17%
Teleop
69.1 63%
Endgame
22.2 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score157.7pts
Blue projected score108.9pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 48.8
- Score range
- 83–184
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
179.8Season APEX212.2
22.3Auto18.9
87.3Teleop69.1
47.8Endgame22.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 18 |
| teleop | 23 | 85 |
| endgame | 20 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 55 | 142 |
Result
Final score
55 – 142
Prediction missed · off by 67.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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