WIN District Seven Rivers Event presented by Mathy Construction Company

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

232.72 – 280.02

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

234 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.2 ±10.4

6732BHS RoboRaiders

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 44.14Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 95.99Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8744Leviathans

Season APEX 130.1Event APEX 92.59Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 513.8 ±9.3

5586Bond Brigade

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 22.86Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 115.75Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1259Paradigm Shift

Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 141.41Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6732, 706, 8744

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6732, 706, 8744

Auto

40.3 17%

Teleop

128.7 55%

Endgame

63.7 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5586, 1792, 1259

/ 100 compat

Projected

280 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5586, 1792, 1259

Auto

52.4 19%

Teleop

157.3 57%

Endgame

68.5 25%

Strengths

· 1259 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score232.7pts

Blue projected score280pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.3
Score range: 205–308
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 568 vs event baseline 156.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.2Season APEX513.8

40.3Auto52.4

128.7Teleop157.3

63.7Endgame68.5

32Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	75
teleop	89	183
endgame	101	76
foul	0	0
total	234	334

Result

Final score

234 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 pts