Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.31 – 143.16

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 101.1 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 312.4 ±41.3

2531RoboHawks

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 1.17Rank 14Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 105.57Rank 13Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 12.57Rank 12Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405 ±11.2

11139Blackhawk Robotics #11139

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 23.52Rank 15Record 1-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10264STORM

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 8.14Rank 7Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 111.5Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2531, 9994, 7915

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.3 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2531, 9994, 7915

Auto

10.6 9%

Teleop

78.8 65%

Endgame

32.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11139, 10264, 1732

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.2 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11139, 10264, 1732

Auto

26.3 19%

Teleop

63.3 45%

Endgame

51.2 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score119.3pts

Blue projected score143.2pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample36alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.8
Score range: 95–167
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 132.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

312.4Season APEX405

10.6Auto26.3

78.8Teleop63.3

32.2Endgame51.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	66
teleop	19	143
endgame	0	59
foul	0	0
total	42	268

Result

Final score

42 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 101.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree