Qualification · Qualification 4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
67.99 – 116.91
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
80 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 15 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.6 ±13.5
Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 41.99Rank 8Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 33.54Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX -7.54Rank 14Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 67Event APEX 60.87Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 101.2Event APEX 31.12Rank 6Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 24.92Rank 9Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9149, 1220, 2531
44
/ 100 compatProjected
68 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9149, 1220, 2531
Auto
14.2 22%
Teleop
38.9 60%
Endgame
11.9 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4021, 4531, 2830
58
/ 100 compatProjected
116.9 pts
~1.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4021, 4531, 2830
Auto
26.6 22%
Teleop
67.7 57%
Endgame
25.4 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score68pts
Blue projected score116.9pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample36alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -48.9
- Score range
- 44–141
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
242.6Season APEX237.1
14.2Auto26.6
38.9Teleop67.7
11.9Endgame25.4
92Consistency43
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 19 |
| teleop | 44 | 63 |
| endgame | 24 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 80 | 99 |
Result
Final score
80 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 15 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree