Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

190.33 – 185.93

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

125 – 158

Prediction missed · off by 46.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 424.2 ±12.4

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 170.23Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2143Team Tobor

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 27.64Rank 5Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2531RoboHawks

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX -7.54Rank 14Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257.7 ±10.4

5826Avis Automata

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 86.55Rank 3Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10264STORM

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 38.51Rank 7Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4021igKnightion

Season APEX 67Event APEX 60.87Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1732, 2143, 2531

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.3 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1732, 2143, 2531

Auto

27.4 15%

Teleop

103.8 55%

Endgame

56.3 30%

Strengths

· 1732 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5826, 10264, 4021

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.9 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5826, 10264, 4021

Auto

40.9 23%

Teleop

96.4 53%

Endgame

43.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score190.3pts

Blue projected score185.9pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample36alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.4
Score range: 162–214
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 134.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

424.2Season APEX257.7

27.4Auto40.9

103.8Teleop96.4

56.3Endgame43.6

46Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	41
teleop	79	80
endgame	44	37
foul	0	0
total	125	158

Result

Final score

125 – 158

Prediction missed · off by 46.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree