Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

158 – 80.78

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 16.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.7 ±10.4

5826Avis Automata

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 89.41Rank 3Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 36.15Rank 10Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8744Leviathans

Season APEX 130.1Event APEX 32.44Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.6 ±41.2

1220Rockhoppers - Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 30.51Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4531STEAMpunk

Season APEX 101.2Event APEX 28.47Rank 6Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 21.8Rank 13Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5826, 2062, 8744

/ 100 compat

Projected

158 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5826, 2062, 8744

Auto

25.5 17%

Teleop

84.6 56%

Endgame

40.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1220, 4531, 9994

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1220, 4531, 9994

Auto

24.9 31%

Teleop

52.8 65%

Endgame

3.9 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score158pts

Blue projected score80.8pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample36alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77.2
Score range: 57–182
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 135.7.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.7Season APEX197.6

25.5Auto24.9

84.6Teleop52.8

40Endgame3.9

45Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	33
teleop	42	46
endgame	19	13
foul	60	5
total	142	97

Result

Final score

142 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 16.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree