Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
107.92 – 243.97
16%84%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
71 – 327
Prediction correct · off by 60 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 39.26Rank 9Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 130.1Event APEX 33.65Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 35.01Rank 8Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 575.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 67Event APEX 40.64Rank 2Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 147.37Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 55.96Rank 12Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2830, 8744, 9149
58
/ 100 compatProjected
107.9 pts
~0.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2830, 8744, 9149
Auto
17.7 19%
Teleop
56.4 60%
Endgame
19.3 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4021, 1732, 7915
81
/ 100 compatProjected
244 pts
~2.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4021, 1732, 7915
Auto
32.9 13%
Teleop
143.4 57%
Endgame
73.1 29%
Strengths
- · 1732 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score107.9pts
Blue projected score244pts
Red win probability16%
Event bonus sample36alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -136
- Score range
- 84–268
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
261.3Season APEX575.9
17.7Auto32.9
56.4Teleop143.4
19.3Endgame73.1
95Consistency71
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 59 |
| teleop | 23 | 163 |
| endgame | 19 | 105 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 71 | 327 |
Result
Final score
71 – 327
Prediction correct · off by 60 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree